Policy Research in Macroeconomics

1992-2013: the rise and fall of UK manufacturing and industrial production

By Jeremy Smith

The Office for National Statistics today published the latest figures for the UK’s industrial production, including manufacturing.  Here is our chart showing the evolution of the index for manufacturing over the last 20 years or so since 1992.  As you see, it is not in permanent secular decline, as we are sometimes led to believe.  It rose sharply after 1992, and remained relatively high till 2009.  In 2012 and now – with very bad January figures – in early 2013, it has slipped back to a low level last seen in 1993.

manuf over 20 yrs

manuf over 20 yrs

The next chart shows the evolution of industrial production (which in also covers mining, quarrying, oil and gas extraction, energy production etc.) over the same period.

manuf and indust prod 1992-2013

manuf and indust prod 1992-2013

Whilst manufacturing is still a little above 1992 levels, industrial production is now not only below the 2009 trough, but also below 1992 – in fact at a a level last seen in 1987.  This reflects in particular the decline of North Sea Oil.

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